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Election Polls Underestimated Donald Trump In More Than 30 States
 

Election Polls Underestimated Donald Trump In More Than 30 States

Election Polls Underestimated Donald Trump In More Than 30 States Now that all the votes are counted and certified, we can get an accurate look at how polls performed relative to actual outcomes in the 2016 election. While we’ve heard many arguments about why polls failed this year, the real problem isn’t that polls inaccurately predicted the winner. It’s that they all failed in the same direction. In the polling aggregates that included all 50 states, poll errors favored Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump by a ratio of roughly 6 to 1 in Dail... read more

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